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Bob Turk, Bernadette Woods and Tim Williams update the weather continuously on WJZ.COM. They also like to share their thoughts on the First Warning Weather Blog.

Nov 20, 2009 12:20 PM

Clouds Clear Out

 

Clouds cleared quickly, so we added more sunshine to the forecast. There will be patchy cumulus clouds around Friday afternoon. But, our temperature forecast looks fine. Not much will be happening over the next few days. Saturday should be a decent day with high pressure close by. Sunday will not be bad either. Clouds will increase late Sunday as the next storm approaches form the south. Rain is expected to begin before the end of the day.

Rain may continue Monday. But, it doesn't look very impressive on today's model runs. But, you can see what this storm is doing now to Texas. Its very nasty down there with flooding rain. Winds were near tropical storm force on a buoy offshore earlier this morning. Winds may well be a factor with this storm as it passes by Monday. Winds will not be as strong as last weeks Nor'easter.

But, after the beating the Delmarva Coast took last week, it may not take much to cause problems.

After the rain Monday, we should have a quiet stretch of days leading up to Thanksgiving. It looks like the pattern will start to shift to much colder starting late next week.

 
Nov 19, 2009 11:58 AM

More Rain

 

As a ridge of high pressure begins to drift off the New England Coast Thursday morning, the flow pattern continues to be east to northeast. The surface winds should begin to turn to the southeast as the day wears on, but there has already been sufficient moisture in place to bring some drizzle and patchy fog to the area since midnight.

There will be a touch of rain and drizzle on a few occasions Thursday and early Thursday night, and we may even hear some rumbles of thunder Thursday night as a warm front pivots northward and through the area. Rainfall totals will be on the light side (generally around 0.25 inches), and nothing like the amounts we had late last week with the "Ghost of Ida."

The weekend will be getting off to a comfortable start, but the focus of our attention late Sunday and especially on Sunday night will be on a wave of low pressure that will start to develop early this weekend in the western Gulf Of Mexico. This wave will be moving up the East Coast Monday and it could bring periods of rain, followed by some drier air on Tuesday.

Have a good day !!!

 
Nov 18, 2009 3:30 PM

Clouds Moving In

 

Here come the clouds, and some showers will likely follow.

High pressure is still hanging on just offshore, keeping us dry for today.  However, clouds are already taking over because this high is weakening and losing out to an approaching storm.  The storm did bring serious snow to the Rockies, then snow and rain to the Mississippi Valley, but is weakening significantly as it moves our way.  Starting tomorrow, we will see spotty rain out of it, but that's about it.  The on and off rain will move out of here Friday, as the storm swings through. 

Dry air will follow for the start of the weekend.  Expect sunshine and only patchy clouds Saturday.  But by the end of the weekend, a new storm will be moving our way again.  This next one is going to take a more southern track across the country, then move northward when it hits the east coast.  For us, the clouds will start to increase again on Sunday and some rain could move in by the end of the day.  The chance for rain will continue through the night into Monday as the storm makes its way up the coast. 

All the while, temperatures will go up and down a few but run very close to the average of 56 - and soon to be 55 degrees. 

 
Nov 18, 2009 1:17 PM

Mild For November

 

It truly has been a comfortable few days with temperatures above normal highs. We do expect increasing clouds through the day with a chance for spotty showers late Wednesday night. Temperatures stay in the upper 40s to near 50 and remain seasonably mild through the week's end. Low pressure in the Midwest is driving a frontal boundary expected to arrive by push rain across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic by late Thursday afternoon. Those showers will linger into Friday morning, before clearing by Friday evening, as high pressure builds in.

Saturday will be the better of the weekend days with a good amount of sunshine and temps near 60 degrees. A southern storm arrives by Sunday afternoon that could effect afternoon activities (including Ravens vs. Colts). The later rain will hang around through Monday before another bit of clearing.

 
Nov 17, 2009 1:25 PM

Sunshine Continues

 

The sunshine continues, but temperatures are trending downward.

High pressure has been easing in from the north.  That high is keeping sunshine around for most of us (yes, there are some clouds farther west and patchy clouds over southern Maryland), while bringing in cooler air.  But cooler is a relative term, because even though highs won't be in the 70s of Sunday or 60s of yesterday, they will still top out above the average of 56 degrees.  This high pressure will hang along the East Coast tomorrow, giving us one more dry day before the next storm approaches us.

The next storm is still hanging over the middle fo the country with rain in the Mississippi Valley and snow in the Plains.  It will max out there, weakening significantly as it moves along.  The actual center of the storm will head northeastward, swinging a very strung out cold front our way Thursday into Friday.  Clouds will start to take over tomorrow, then there is the chance for spotty rain and showers when the front comes through.  It still looks like all of this gets out of here Friday night.  And believe me, I have to be on top of this one since my cousin's wedding is Friday night!

A new storm will track across the south and then up the East Coast over the weekend.  For us, it looks like Saturday will be dry, then clouds will return with the chance for some showers on Sunday.  All the while, temperatures will run close to the average of 56 degrees. 

 
Nov 16, 2009 2:05 PM

It's Another Beauty Today!

 

Believe it or not, a cold front went through overnight. There was no moisture with this front, but the winds have turned around to the north behind it. That northerly wind will eventually bring in cooler air. And even though the process started Monday, we are still topping out in the 60s Monday afternoon.

In fact, by noon it was already 66 degrees at BWI-Marshall. Monday night, we will drop down into the 30s and then only get up to about 59 degrees tomorrow. However, that is still above the average high of 56 degrees.

The dry weather will hang on for a few more days with the next storm moving our way later in the week. Expect a lot of sunshine again tomorrow, then clouds to start increasing Wednesday. This next storm has been a doozie over the Rockies and middle of the country, but will weaken significantly as it moves our way. Scattered showers are possible Thursday and Friday as the next storm moves through. We will be watching a second storm follow, possibly over the weekend. It will also bring the chance for some rain.

On a sidenote: it looks like the weather in Cleveland will hold out Monday night. There is some rain moving into northwest Ohio already. It will get close, but probably stay west of Cleveland. The clouds are in place already and the winds will pick up as the kickoff temperature drops into the 40s.

 
Nov 15, 2009 5:33 PM

Fantastic Fall Day

 

What a fantastic fall day!

After all the rain, wind, and gloom of the last few days, what a difference today was. Sunshine not only returned to the entire state, it helped to warm us up to 72 degrees this afternoon! We were still off the record of 79 degrees from 1993, but way above the average of 57 degrees. This will end up being the warmest day of this week as two different cold fronts move our way.

The first cold front will move through overnight. There is really no moisture with it, but the winds will pikc up a bit and cooler air will start to seep in. Highs will still make it to the low 60s tomorrow afternoon, but only top out in the 50s Tuesday. We will string together a few more days of sunshine during this time. Then the second front comes our way later in the week.

This storm is going to be a much stronger force over the Rockies and middle of the country, weakening as it moves our way. Clouds will start to take over Wednesday, but the chance for showers returns Wednesday night into Friday morning. We will have to watch the progress of this storm as it moves our way since it is a slow mover, but right now it looks like it will get out of here Friday night.

On another note, there are still some coastal flood advisories in effect for coastal southern Maryland (both shores) up through AA County. They will expire at varying times overnight, but all of the water from last week's storm has not receeded yet. The next high tide will still produce localized coastal flooding.

 
Nov 15, 2009 9:27 AM

The Sun is Back

 

No major changes to the forecast this morning as things appear to be on track with a quiet weather pattern setting over the next several days. Any clouds and fog will give way to some sunshine in the afternoon as winds turn more westerly. Temperatures will also be noticeably warmer this afternoon  with highs approaching 70 across the region.

A cold front associated with a storm system moving through Quebec will move through the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic tonight before washing out. However this looks to be a dry frontal passage with nothing more than partly cloudy skies during the overnight. Behind the front temperatures will drop off a bit on Monday, however it will still be a nice day for the most part with a good deal of sunshine. This area of high pressure will park over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through Wednesday bringing us plenty of sunshine with seasonable temperatures.

The next storm system looks to stall out across the Plains and Midwest as this area of high pressure holds on strong across the Northeast on Thursday. However, the high pressure will begin to slowly shift eastward resulting allowing for some more clouds to begin to move into the region. Current thinking is for the high pressure to remain in control on Friday and into Saturday for the next storm system finally pushes eastward bringing us a chance for some rainfall by the end of the weekend.

 
Nov 14, 2009 7:05 PM

Rough Weather Eases Up

 

After some rough days up and down the Eastern Seaboard, the weather is finally starting to quiet down.

There was some rain around this morning still, but that has left and the winds have come down significantly. However, coastal flood advisories continue. They are in effect for the Eastern Shore, southern Maryland, and counties along the western shore of the Bay through varying times through tonight and tomorrow. The next two high tides will produce some coastal flooding before the water really starts to lower.

With the winds dying down and the clouds starting to break up, we will see some fog form overnight. So that's how we will start out the day. However, sunshine will eventually break through and return to the region! We will also warm up, with highs topping out near 70 degrees. The warm air will not stick around, but the trend of more sunshine will as we move into the new week.

A cold front will pass by Monday. There is really no moisture out there with this front, so we will barely see any clouds with it. But we will feel cooler air slowly seep in behind it. Highs on Monday will step down to the low 60s, then stay in the 50s Tuesday and Wednesday.

The next storm will move our way later in the week. It is going to be a much stronger storm over the Rockies and middle of the country, but will still have some showers with it when it swings through here Thursday into Friday. Another storm will quickly follow.

 
Nov 14, 2009 8:58 AM

The Sun Is Coming (Eventually)

 

Ida or the remains of Ida or the storm that was formerly named Ida (or whatever you want to call it) will continue to cause problems today. There will continue to be some lighter rain and drizzle around throughout the day and probably into this evening. I wouldn't rule out a bit of drizzle after midnight either. The winds will be considerably less today and turn more northerly as this system moves slowly away from the region. This should limit additional beach erosion of the last several days. Rain amounts will be negligible with most places having little or nothing, but farther east there can still be some light rain and drizzle with amounts less than 0.10 inches. Despite the rain and cloud cover temperatures will still be above average with the overall airmass origin from the Gulf of Mexico. This is about the only side benefit from a tropical system coming northward this late in the season. As I mentioned the drizzle could last through the night, but either way we'll have low clouds hanging about and temperatures will not drop much thanks to insulation.

Tomorrow will be a dry day and the crux of the issue will be whether or not the low clouds break or not. Latest soundings would suggest a fairly cloudy day to start, and depending on which model we go with, it could last throughout the day. At this point we'll have to go with the clouds hold on through the mid-afternoon at least. It may break slightly before the sun goes down.

Monday is looking better with sunshine coming out. There is a dry cold front moving through during the midday that may bring a few clouds to the area, but no more than that. There could be some fog in the area to start the day Monday, but the front should allow for enough mixing to break this up. High pressure will build in on Tuesday in the wake of this front. This will lead to a dry day, but it will be cooler despite the sunshine. This high holds through Wednesday and Thursday. Each day will have sunshine and seasonable to above average warmth.

 
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About the Author

Bob Turk, Bernadette Woods and Tim Williams update the weather continuously on WJZ.COM. They also like to share their thoughts on the First Warning Weather Blog.

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